Is the currency change in blackness leads to a new division? – ryan

In a move that surprised the Sudanese and sparked a wave of controversy, The Sudanese government announced the replacement of securities, two categories 500 and 1000 pounds From the local currency, in an attempt to improve the economic situation and combat forgery and looting after the war.

But what seemed to be a routine economic measure that turned into a major crisis, as its repercussions resulted in revealing the size of the crisis that the Sudanese economy suffers from in light of the continuation of the grinding war. The process was also limited to certain states for security reasons, which prompted the country towards more complications.

Why do countries change currencies?

Usually Countries change their currencies In several cases, such as securities damage or to control inflation. Change can also be part of restoring confidence in the local currency, especially if its value is significantly decreased or to face the sharp rise in issuance costs.

Wiped inflation can significantly erode the value of the currency, which leads to the issuance of high -value currency categories, but this causes confusion of transactions and loss of confidence in the local currency. Therefore, some countries resort to steps such as removing zeros from the old currency and replacing them with a new currency of higher value, as did the black state itself in 2007, during the era of ousted President Omar al -Bashir and the Islamic Salvation system.

Countries resorted to changing their currencies

Which are Not an innovative step; It preceded them in the third millennium Zimbabwe in 2003, then Romania and Turkey in 2005, and then repeated by Bolivia, Algeria and Iran; Accordingly, in the past century, several countries have successfully applied these measures, such as Germany and the Netherlands, although some were forced to repeat the process several times.

But in Sudan, the current circumstances made this step an extraordinary matter, as it could be an indication of additional complications that contribute to increasing the division within the country, between the Sudanese state and the regions controlled by the Rapid Support Forces, which reflects the reality of the crisis political and economic situation at the present time.

The decision to replace the currency in Sudan

The story started when the Sudanese government announced the decision to replace the 500 and 1,000 pounds of local currency, in a move that surprised many citizens and sparked widespread controversy in economic and political circles. The decision came at a difficult time for the Sudanese economy, which suffers from the repercussions of the ongoing war and the wide looting that affected the banks in the capital and the states alike, which led to the loss of more than 80% of the monetary bloc. In addition, there was Impalls by citizens about dealing through the banking systemWhich increased the complexity of the economic situation.

The team/ Ibrahim Jaber, a member of the Sovereign Council, chaired a specialized committee to organize the replacement process that includes representatives of the various institutions of the state concerned. The operation started on December 10, 2024, and it lasted until 23 of the same monthTo include six states out of 18 states, and they are the states of (the Nile River, the Red Sea, Gedaref, Kassala, Blue Nile, Sennar).

It is noteworthy that the choice of these states came based on security estimates related to the military control of the Rapid Support Forces in some areas, in addition to the continued conflict between the regular and rapid support forces in other areas.

The target groups in the replacement process

According to Sudanese Central Bank statement The targeted groups in the replacement process are 500 and 1000 pounds, stressing the need to change through banks, and by depositing in personal bank accounts for each customer. This step is part of the government’s attempt to protect the national currency and achieve stability in the exchange rate of the Sudanese pound, which was negatively affected by the military operations and looting in the country.

In November 2024, the Central Bank announced the launch of the new currency due to the spread of currencies of the category of 1000 and 500 pounds of unknown source, which led to an increase in informal cash liquidity in the markets, and affected the stability of prices and caused an increase in inflation. The step of replacing the currency aims to reduce this negative impact, and to ensure the stability of the economy in light of the difficult circumstances the country is going through.

Rapid support forces reaction after the central decision

In response to the Sudanese Central Bank’s decision to launch new categories of the currency, the Rapid Support Forces confirmed in a statement that it would prevent dealing with the new groups of the currency issued by the government, in all the areas it controls.

The Rapid Support Forces explained pianoThe old currency is the formula for financial edema in the trading of the areas under its control, considering that the procedures for changing the currency that the government followed are illegal and aims to divide the country.

This development is back to mind What happened in 2011 with the independence of South SudanWhen the term “one country with two systems” was popular, to ultimately lead to an unstable “two states”. With the division that may accompany the current step, it seems that Sudan is heading towards becoming.StateWhat raises the concerns of many analysts who consider this procedure to actually pave the way to divide the country.

A step to divide the country … about the reactions of the political forces

The Sudanese government’s announcement of the replacement of the currency was not spared criticism and accusations by political forces, as many parties considered that this step aims to divide the country in a practical way, and from them Coordination of Democratic Civil Forces “progress” Which considered that the process of replacing the currency is part of a policy aimed at depriving large areas of the country of any commercial dealings, describing it as a political punishment for the areas controlled by the Rapid Support Forces.

The step, which some have linked to what is happening in the secondary certificate exams or the laws associated with the so -called “”Strange facesShe considered an indication of the normalization of the idea of ​​division in the country. These measures, according to its critics, reveal a deeper political and social division, and is a practical step towards dividing the country, at an inappropriate time.

Change driven by political goals

In the same context, Economic analysts indicated that this process may be driven by political and historical goalsWhere some accused the “Islamic movement” of its responsibility for the negative effects of this step, noting that these policies will lead to the perpetuation of the division, as happened with the independence of South Sudan in 2011.

They also pointed out that this step appears as an extension of thinking about further dividing the country on ethnic and geographical foundations, including the abolition of ancient Sudan and the creation of a different Sudan in which the elements that some consider unwanted.

Switching the currency enhances the state of the country’s internal division

On the other hand, Economists warned From the partial switching of the currency, the Rapid Support Forces can push its own currency in its areas of control, or dealing with old currencies or even foreign currencies, which enhances the state of division and complicates negotiations by forming a parallel government in the areas it controls.

They also pointed out that this step will lead to the exit of rapid support control areas from the national economic system, which weakens the Sudanese economy more. Some believe that this procedure, which some see as an uncompromising stepIt will exacerbate the economic crisis in the country and increase the deepening of the gap between different regions, which expands the scope of division in Sudan.

In conclusion, although the Sudanese government was aimed at changing the currency to Improving the economic situation, combating money laundering, and recovering the money traded outside the banking sectorHowever, the reality indicates that this step can deepen the internal divisions in the country.

The areas controlled by the Rapid Support Forces lack the banking structure, which will compel their residents to deal with the old categories of the currency, but the support forces will not already allow the use of new currencies. What enhances the state of economic division and increases the complexity of the situation, to make it difficult to achieve economic and political stability under the current circumstances.

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