Why is the value of "Tesla" more of Eileon Musk more than its actual achievement?

There is a question that causes endless discussions between money professors, analysts and investors and expanded to intense debates on social media: What is the true value of “Tesla”? Some people see that the market evaluation mature trillion dollars is justified, but others believe this number is not related to reality. Estimating “Tesla” is related to how the company defines: Is it a leading electric car manufacturer? Or a technology company that bets on creating a future revolution in the techniques of self -leadership and human robots? Nicholas Kullas, the founding partner of Datrek Research, sees that the price of “Tesla” is mostly based on future aspirations today. As for “Wall Street”, there is a division in the direction of the company’s view. The data of Bloomberg showed at the beginning of June that the estimates of analysts at the price of “Tesla” shares are one of the most varying of the “S&B 500” index within 12 months, which is between $ 115 and minimum and $ 500 in the maximum. In other words, the market value of the company could range between $ 370 billion and 1.6 billion dollars in one year. Also read: The first “Tesla” car driving itself from the factory to the customer’s house. Another factor is no less important in this equation: it is Elon Musk. It is difficult to find in modern history, an executive president, who has influenced the price of his company’s share, just as he does a mask, perhaps even more than Warren Buffett in “Berkshire Hathaway Inc”. ‘Tesla’ feeds on the promises of the faith mask with the potential of ‘Tesla’ as a revolutionary technology company fueled by the repeated and promises of mask that the future of the business is not in the automotive industry, but rather in automation. This belief was placed for the test on June 22 when Tesla recently launched its service for years: Self -management taxi. The launch was modest, limited to a small group of model Y users, and in a limited geographical range of Austin, the company’s headquarters. Also on the front seat was a human passenger for safety reasons after the trip. However, Tesla jumped by more than 8%the next day, which recorded its biggest daily profits in two months. Mask’s future vision has attracted an audience of investors rising to the level of a ‘sect’ of followers, but the influence of the CEO does not always have in the interest of the company. His image was influenced by his relationship with the movement “Let us prepare for America his greatness” and the submitted of a sharp dispute with US President Donald Trump has thrown his shadow over “Tesla” in recent months. Tesla is mainly known for its leadership in the electric vehicles market, and its contribution to the spread of batteries that work. Motor and electric truck sales were about 80% of the business revenue over the past year, while the remaining percentage is almost equal between the services section, which includes the electric vehicle charger network, solar products and energy storage systems. Who competes with “Tesla” in the automotive industry? Tesla does not face many direct competitors in the electric vehicles sector, so there is no other manufacturer comparable to it. However, the Chinese “Byd” business, which manufactures electric and hybrid cars, is fast catching up. In a joint precedent in the electric vehicles market, ‘Byd’ exceeded last April to ‘Tesla’ in terms of the number of electric cars sold in Europe. Some analysts suggest that the Chinese company could withdraw the lead by the end of the year worldwide. Also read: Tesla is a maximum Chinese competitors whose approach is inspired, and compared to traditional car manufacturers, Tesla has been in a medium rank over the past year, as it has sold less than 1.8 million vehicles around the world over the past year, less than a third of GM sales and less than half of Ford sales. Analysts expect “Tesla” sales to fall slightly this year to about 1.7 million vehicles, due to a number of challenges, especially the temporary production associated with the purpose of strengthening the reinforced lines related to the renewed style of “WI model”, and demand has fallen in Europe and the United States in the background of the political infection. Tesla envy a profit margin in the car sector by other businesses, but today it refused to estimate about 17% this year, a level less than the company achieved in 2024, and approached the profitable margins recorded by “General Motors” and “Ford” of car manufacturing. This comes despite the benefit of “Tesla” of an additional source of income that results from the sale of zero emissions balances to other car businesses, which are granted by government policies aimed at supporting the shift to clean vehicles. However, this source of revenue may be under pressure in the United States, as the Trump administration continues with its plans to reduce the criteria for fuel economy and exhaust gases. Also read: Mask is betting on “robotics” to get out of the Trump storm and extinguish the “Tesla” fires. Despite the slowdown of the growth, the possibility of canceling the tax incentives of electric vehicles is, and the dependence on “Tesla” on a limited and bright formation of models, at a time when the low -cost car that Musk promised since the first “major plan” in 2006, the market value of the company still has more than ten times the Detroit. The multiplier scale of the price to the expected profits – a general indicator to evaluate the shares that compare the share price with the expected company profit over the next 12 months – show that the ‘Tesla’ arrow is currently trading on a double of about 138, while the complications of ‘General Motors’ and ‘Ford’ are only between 5 and 9. How do the analysts judge ‘Tesla’ in the car? Although “Tesla” is distinguished by its focus on electrical payment systems, it is essentially not from traditional car manufacturers, as it is active in a sector that needs large capitalist investments based on manufacturing and selling vehicles. “The evaluation of traditional car businesses is easier because it has clear profit and turnover sources, while the difference in the evaluation of analysts is caused by their differences in the market performance in general.” Collin Langan of Wales Vargo, is a voice of “Tesla” in “Wall Street”, where the target of the share is set at $ 120, based on an evaluation of $ 65 of the company’s basic business, which is represented in electric cars and energy. On the other hand, Adam Jonas of “Morgan Stanley” – who is an optimistic analyst years ago in the direction of “Tesla” – of a scenario in which the value of the electric car division is estimated at $ 75 per share, which supports a targeted $ 410 price. Jonas takes the possibility of “Tesla” Cares Crovery in Future Revenue of Self -Driving Technology Possible revenue sources. Adam Jonas, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, wrote in a memo to his clients, “Most investors evaluate the basic activity of (Tesla) for cars with a series of $ 50 and $ 100 per share, and then they stop at this point. But here is like an Amazon evaluation as just an online retail platform or a portal Individual investors, which is the most enthusiastic basis for “Tesla”. -Analysts of “Wall Street” and individual investors believe that the real value of the business lies in self -management technologies. In addition to the works that generate real income, Tesla is betting on technology that is still in the process of initial models, and their feasibility has not yet been widely proven, such as the self -managed vehicles, and the ‘Optimus’, which is like the company, which according to the company is a dangerous, repeated or boring bag. Rather an advanced platform to help the manager oversee human supervision. This technique is dependent on the cameras as a source of vision, instead of using the laid or radar, as the mask this cheaper and easier to use on a larger scale. But critics of this approach warn that it exposes the self -leadership to greater risks, especially in weather conditions that limit vision, such as fog or sunlight. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has opened an investigation into the safety of this human supervision system, after a series of serious incidents. In this context, Tesla develops the ‘complete self -management’ system to operate various types of vehicles without human intervention. This ambition is based on a vision aimed at creating self -management service, and starts using the “Tesla” currently available, before going to a specially designed vehicle called “Cybercab”, which will be without a wheel or pedals. At the start of the first self -managing taxi cars in Austin on June 22, social media spread videos in which vehicles made traffic violations. One of the users documented a left -handed turn, while other shots showed that cars were exceeded for the specified speeds. Who are the ‘Tesla’ peers in the technological sector? For those who see ‘Tesla’, it is more than just a car business in the traditional sense, and it is a recognition of its position as a leading technology company. This group contains technology giants: “alphabet”, “Amazon”, “Apple”, “Mita”, “Microsoft” and “Invidia”, as well as “Tesla”. Tesla is the highest rating between these businesses in terms of double price to future profits, as the share trades at a double of more than a hundred, while Microsoft is second with a big difference, with a double of about 32 times in terms of expected profits. The position of “Tesla” within the “Seven Grandum” group depends on its reputation as a revolutionary technology company. With its competitive strength falling in the electric car market gradually, the innovation burden moved to its other ambitious projects. In the field of self -management, Waymo, the alphabet, is the most serious and reliable rival for Tesla. It runs a fleet of more than 1500 self -managing vehicles and offers over 250,000 paid trips per week in four US cities. But “Wimo” is not a direct counterpart to “Tesla” in terms of the operational model; It is a software business in the first place, and its cars are not manufactured in itself, but rather depend on the adjustment of the electric “Jaguar I -pace “. A clear variation in evaluating the two companies is highlighted. The value of” Wimo “, which is associated with the” alphabet “group, was estimated in the latest financing round in the latest financing round at approximately $ 45 billion. -Analyst at “Wall Street” for three decades, who has spent more than ten years covering the car sector, indicates that about 95% of the current “Tesla” share price is related to what the company can reach in the future. does not, it is estimated that the value represented by this cash flow at the current share price is $ 20 per share. Science. Risk Capital Investors are. “Morgan Stanley” estimates the value of “Tesla” services in the field of transport services and other services related to about $ 250 per share, but it gives no value to the human robotic project “optimos”. Gengaro of Stifel looks more optimistic as the price is estimated at $ 311 per share, thanks to self -management and robotics, while the “Optimos” project alone is added $ 29. Implicitly reflects on the gap between the success estimates that optimistic and pessimists are expressed for different operating activities. Analysts who share high -price goals for ‘Tesla’ share tend to take a more optimistic view of the future of the company’s self -managed cars, and they see that this is most of their market value. This corresponds to the explicit mask bet in 2022, when he said that achieving a technical solution to self -leadership: “What makes the real difference between (Tesla) is a company of great value … or without value.” Illon Musk has been repeating for more than a decade that “Tesla” cars are on the threshold to achieve full self -management. He even described himself sarcastic as a ‘boy who screamed: full self -leadership’, referring to the large number of promises that have not yet been fulfilled. Doubt still surrounds the possibility that the self -management transport service the company has developed is the large turned turning point, and that it has actually increased the level of expectations fed Musk. According to Dan Levy, an analyst at ‘Barclays’, which places a targeted price for ‘Tesla’ share at $ 275 and is recommended to hold the arrow now, the decisive question in the next phase is the scope of the company’s ability to expand the scope of this service quickly. He said, “Support (Wimo) will not be the easy task,” he said. However, Musk has managed to gain a lot of confidence, causing many analysts and investors to overcome short -term failures and promises that have not been fulfilled. He oversaw technological transformations that previously looked closer to imagination, from the automotive industry, which exceeded a century age, to the era of electric vehicles, which led the vertical landing of the reusable missiles to make an ordinary matter. As for the pursuit of “Tesla” in the field of robots, the ceiling mask has increased an unprecedented level, stating that the ‘optimos’ robot in the long run could generate more than $ 10 trillion revenue, which would exceed the current annual sales of the company, taking into account that this project would “represent the majority of the total value of the company.” It is a great ambition that a mask trying to persuade investors, especially in light of what was revealed during a presentation last year, because it was found that the initial models of the “Optimus” robot were found remotely by people. However, sellers realize the risk of betting against Elon Musk. According to the S3 partners, the sales rate of “Tesla” shares exposed from the total free shares traded from 36% in 2019 to only about 3% currently. Cars Block, CEO of Muddy Waters Capital, explained in an interview with “Bloomberg” TV early this year, the reason for his failure to bet against “Tesla”, and said about Musk, “when I thought he would fall into the Abyss … he surprised you to return. Rabbits of the hat. ‘ But Elon Musk is not in an inflicted, and his ability to weigh the palm works in both struggles. The sharp arrow of “Tesla” in recent months. While the arrow began to regain its momentum after the Musk statement in April, his intention to withdraw from his involvement in the political affairs in Washington, the public decline of his relationship with Donald Trump set fire to a hard buying wave, resulting in the biggest daily loss of the market value of the business.