The Israel and Iran War curse the rise of "S&P 500" upwards

The S & B500 moved over weeks, with a very slow and gradual rate near its highest levels ever, and despite the encouragement of economic indicators, Wall Street was concerned about the wealth of the stock market in the midst of global fog without the rush of investors. However, these concerns turned into a real reality on Thursday night after Israel and Iran exchanged rocket attacks, in an escalation warning of a greater war in the Middle East, which has already approached the boiling point after years of fighting in Gaza. As a result of this escalation, oil prices increased by 14% on Friday, while US Treasury yields stopped a four -day decline for ten years to rise again. The “VIX” fluctuation index of the Chicago Options Stock Exchange increased over the 20 -point threshold. At the stock level, the performance remained relatively calm until the end of the session, when the sales pressure dropped the S&B 500 by 1.1%. However, after a week of fluctuation between rise and decline, the index ended its five sessions at levels near the beginning, and it still separates it less than 3% of reaching a new record. Expect cautious summer, Julian Emmanuel, the main stock and quantitative analysis of Evercore ISI: “We do not believe that the markets will reach standard levels in 2025, but will wait until 2026.” Emmanuel said: “In light of the multiple risks, from the escalation of the tension between Israel and Iran, to customs duties, through the beautiful great tax law, we believe that summer will be a stressful period until the state of uncertainty will be cleared. But it will eventually do, which will lead to new record heights.” However, investors do not currently show tangible anxiety indicators. The expected correlation index of the top 50 companies in the S&B 500 hangs near the lowest level over the next three months since February, when the stock market recorded its last record, indicating that the performance of the shares can be determined by its own ingredients than the total economic addresses are affected. The stock markets see an unknown trading period, as traditional incentives no longer move the market as before, while the fluctuations are historically limited. The S&B 500 moved within a narrow series that was no more than 0.6% up or down at 11 out of the 13 sessions until Friday, a rate not recorded since December, according to the data collected by Bloomberg. The “News Selling” phase is expected to record the ‘S&B 500′ index, a new record, this week before the fights in the Middle East are recorded Thursday night. The consumer price index and the producers’ price index indicated that inflation is under control. Treasury auctions have recorded a strong performance, and the intensity of the tensions between the United States and China has calmed down. However, the standard index only moved in a limited way, but actually decreased on Wednesday despite the release of an almost perfect inflation. “The market has absorbed many risks over the past two months, and it no longer holds an internal momentum that is rising strongly in response to a positive inflation report, especially as many people still see that the effects of customs duties have not yet appeared,” said Michael Cantroitz, the investment strategy of Piper Sandler & Co. is, whether it is, whether used, whether it is a major, whether it is a major. Factor in the suspicion of Wall Street over the last high wave, which in turn declares the compliance of the S&B 500 to remain a few steps of registration of a new record. Intensive selling pressure on the market The latest flow -data released on Tuesday about Carrie Hall Generation, a quantum and stock expert at Bank of America, showed that institutional customers in the bank sold shares in five consecutive weeks. The cumulative sales volume of this stage of the year is the highest in the bank records since 2008. For his part, Samir Sammana, head of the shares and real assets division at the Wells Fargo Institute Institute, said: ‘We live in a state to buy the rumor, sell the news, and the economy has specifically added to the economy. “Now it seems that we have already entered the” news “phase. In the absence of a clear vision of Washington, even senior optimistic investors are reluctant to buy at current levels. The adult funds still hold a low share, as their awards were less than this level in just 28% of the time since 2010, according to” Deutsche Bank “.” We feel that the market is wondering, “What now?” Investment investments governor, who are still cautious with the risks facing stocks and fixed income and bought precious metals. She stops a little and waits for a breakthrough. ‘Even Trump’s softest commercial speech fails to stimulate the market as in the past. Last week, the United States and China agreed on a business agreement for a commercial agreement, a kind of advertisement that would not have set fire to a spark in the stock market long ago, but in the end negotiations returned a dollar factor -factor. The headlines of the most important news, “says Dan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management. Investors may want to hear something more essential and realistic than they have heard so far.” Looking for safety is clearly below the surface of the stock market, as the traditional safe haven sectors excel in their performance with the reluctance of investors of risk. The real estate, energy and medicine sector this month is leading the ‘Standard & Poor’s 500’ index, which easily overlooked the shares of technology companies known as ‘The Seven Grotes’, which increased strongly, after it was one of the worst sectors of the index in May. The search for safety seems logical to Bokanan of ‘Global’, who wonders about the reason for the shares that remain less than one of the highest levels, just a negotiation trick. In February, at this stage, there was an intense sale wave at the beginning that motivated the Chinese artificial intelligence business, Deepseek, and then a wave of sale by Trump’s announcement of customs duties on April 2. I was previously destroyed by the market. ‘I think it is worth noting that we are still facing many unfavorable factors in terms of raising customs duties and delaying the work of the workforce, which is why the market saw a more gradual increase than having a sudden leap over the past month.