Poll: Trump's policy will support US stocks and dollar in 2025

The US dollar and stocks are expected to be the most important beneficiaries of the US economy growth with the support of Donald Trump’s policy, according to the latest poll of Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse. At the end of the year, 61% of 553 participants expected the S&B 500 index to increase thanks to the strong growth of the US economy and profits. Several experts have indicated that the upcoming Administration of Trump will be a potential catalyst for it, according to the poll conducted on December 18 to December 31 to the “Federal Reserve” decision decision. However, 27% of participants saw that this policy could lead to twice the dollar. Double effect This section reflects the double effect that Trump’s policy will have on the US economy and markets. Although investors believe that reducing tax and the relief of regulatory regulations can support growth, others fear that its hostile approach to trading will increase inflation and keep interest rates high, which could harm consumers and tax US assets. “The two views will clash at some point. I expect this year to be an environment with higher fluctuations to stocks, as the relationship between equities and the dollar becomes more negative in such circumstances,” said Timothy Graf, head of the total economy strategy for the region, the Middle East and Africa at Street Global Markets. It was 2024 years old for the S&B 500 index, despite the decline at the end of December. The index achieved 57 record closures, powered by the high values ​​of companies such as “Invidia” and “Apple”. Meanwhile, the Bloomberg Instant Bloods index has increased by almost a decade, with the benefit of a US economy exceeding the expectation of slowdown. “Economic growth is significantly steadfast, but I wonder if some of this growth reflects a wealth due to a stock market rising at a pace that may not be sustainable. The dollar can remain at its very high levels, as long as the US economy continues to grow strongly, and the world’s savings to flow to US onslaught, but the strength of the dollar may be a challenge. Income increased their spending, showing families with low income increasing signs of financial pressure. Added: “40% of US consumers with low income are still under great pressure. Any increase in inflation due to customs duties, or the high prices of commodities continuously, may weaken the demand in the second half of 2025. highest level jumped in seven months, after the December meeting of the “Federal Reserve” showed that policymakers reduced their expectations to lower interest rates to only two reductions by a quarter of this year. Reserve Council its support for monetary policy will withdraw, either by stopping interest cutting or even thinking about increasing it is a low probability scenario, but it can weigh the shares that are already expensive. He added: “The critical point will be a move to higher interest rates based on the idea that the Federal Reserve cannot offer extra discounts, or that it may actually be forced to raise interest.”