With the first week of the war between Israel and Iran, the state of tension is still in the world and Arabic markets, as stock exchanges, oil prices, commodities and even investor behavior have become a hostage of field and diplomatic developments. The war economy seems to attract the priorities of investors in light of a rapid shift to safe ports, and the expansion of insurance bonuses, amid the dangers of supply chain disorder. In this report we review the map of the winners and the losers, and we monitor where did the financial compass go during the early days of the Israeli -Iran War? The winners of the war in every major conflict, economic sectors of tension benefit, either through the high prices of commodities, transformations in the balance of trade, or the restoration of specific industries such as energy and defense, and below we review the most prominent sectors who have achieved a sharp rise in the first days of the current conflict and oil and gas prices. with a rate of 13% after the attack, to exceed the $ 78 a barrel. Over the past week, oil ranged between a limited increase and decline, and welcomed its prices at the beginning of Friday about $ 77 a barrel of Brent ruol, after President Donald Trump pointed out that taking a decision on a strike to Iran would be decided within two weeks, which would calm the concern of an imminent US attack. However, despite this volatility, prices are still higher than the level before the war was set on fire on June 13. Street of hormuz closes. Energy companies’ shares: They have benefited from the rise in oil and gas prices, as the shares of the most important energy companies have risen clearly over the past week, and the British “Shell” share increased by about 1.7%, and “BP” (BP) by 1.3%after the aggravation of rocket bursts between Israel and Iran, and in Asia, -India “and” on GC “”. Trading for each Brent -RU -Purchase Options to deliver August at 100 and 101 dollar implementation prices, according to “Bloomberg”. Before it was low to the shallow inflation. Benefit from the global military escalation between Israel and Iran, and the shares of “Lockheed Martin” and “RTX Corporation” were recorded by 3%, while “Northrop Grumman” shares as a similar rate with increasing demand for defense systems and the drones. According to Bloomberg and Reuters -data. -Europa, according to the Wall Street Journal. Confrontation. “Markets Group” conveyed by “page”. strengthened. or the siege of the Sea Street, and analysts explained that the ‘war compensation’ will remain in the coming period and can escalate more than the conflict to ensure the coverage of the risk of begging or attacks on ships. of secure ports reflected in the midst of uncertainty. Thanks to their connection with the high oil prices, also increased. Geopolic concerns. Worldwide, the S&P 500 index contracts fell 0.3% last night, compared to a 0.9% drop on Thursday, on the other hand, the shares in Japan, China and Australia moved within narrow series during the first week of war. In a sharp way; with the shares of “Al -Rajhi” bank dropped by about 1.5%and the Saudi National Bank 3.1%, and in Qatar, the market index decreased under pressure from the Qatar National Bank, which lost 4.2%. Decrease in shares of large banks such as the international commercial and “EFG Hermes”. and ‘Air Arabia’ also fell 4.1% after hanging their flights and turning them into alternative roads before their losses expanded to 10% in the early hours of the war. Airlines, as well as major European companies such as “British Airways” of the IAG group and Easy “Easyjet”, “Lufthansa” and “Ryanair”, due to the high fuel prices and turos in the airspace of the Middle East. Reuters added that more than 650 journeys were canceled or directed to the outbreak, Increase in operating costs and the length of the flights, which aggravates the financial burdens on the sector. Tourists in Israel are trapped, in the midst of a state of emergency and the airspace, while London has developed plans to evacuate its citizens. Includes the consequences of the Israeli -Syranic War have reached the tourism and travel sector, as the interest rates have recorded more than 10% since the past Friday, according to 4 officials of major companies working in the country, for Al -Sharq, with almost stopping in the reserve. Pressure is subject to the light of the escalation between Israel and Iran, and the indicators of the non -essential consumer sector in the S&B 500 index with a rate of 1% last Friday, were driven by investors and their departure of high -rised assets. “Carnival” and “Royal Caribbe”, which fell between 3 and 5%with relationships. -Arik to escape risk assets amid an increasing tension between Israel and Iran, which led to a decrease in the price of ‘bitch’ to below 103,000 dollars, and ‘Ethereum’ with a light, in light of extensive losses, and also a ‘loose’ and loss. 106.800 dollars, while Ethereum achieved about 4%profits, and Solana jumped 7.7%. 5 has seen US Bond revenue a slight movement within a limited scope, with casual fluctuations in income due to the overlap of economic and political factors such as the federal position and inflation data, but according to this week without major waves, according to Bloomberg data. Treasury bond yields for ten years began at 4.41% on June 13, dropping to 4.38% on June 18 before it rose to 4.40% today, while yields on bonds for two years on June 13, 3.96%, and on mortgages 30 years 4.90%, with minor movements this week. Do these movements continue, or are they immediately reactions with the current conditions? According to a report from the Financial Times, the primary reactions of the markets are intense, but it is often immediate and temporary. We saw how a rapid rise in oil prices was by up to 13% as soon as the escalation and the fear of the affected supplies of the Middle East had risen, before the rise rate dropped to 7% within hours. Historically, such geopolitical shocks usually end – with the exception of the few cases that have reached the point to close strategic streets or exacerbation of escalation – with a slight increase in prices, followed by a rapid drop, such as the events of September 11 and to the Russian -Cupaine war. For the short term, it is likely that the markets will return to their nature unless the conflict expands, and therefore the continuity of movements will depend on two axes: expanding the involvement, or an actual closure of the street of hormuz. As far as oil prices are concerned, as the war continues without the interruption of the supply, it is likely that prices will return to pre -crisis levels amid indications of a surplus in the market, while according to the Financial Times it remains very sensitive to escalation. * The numbers in the topic are updated according to the latest market data available at 6:17 minutes in London time.
A week after the Israel War, Iran .. Who wins and who loses in the markets so far?
