Black Phone 2 Box Office Set For Record-Breaking Debut, Good Fortune Falls Behind (Sunday Update)

Black Phone 2 is outpacing Good Fortune at the box office during their mutual opening weekend. 2025’s Black Phone 2 is a sequel to the 2022 horror hit The Black Phonewhich adapted the Joe Hill short story of the same name. Meanwhile, Good Fortunewhich is the feature directorial debut of Aziz Ansari, is an original comedy starring Keanu Reeves as a bumbling guardian angel.

for Varietyas of Sunday morning, Black Phone 2 is projected to earn a 3-day opening weekend gross of $26.5 million at the domestic box office. This total will make it the highest-grossing installment in the Black Phone franchise so farexceeding the original movie’s $23.6 million debut.

It also marks Blumhouse’s best opening weekend of the yearblasting past the debut totals of Wolf Man ($10.9 million), The Woman in the Yard ($9.4 million), Drop ($7.4 million), etc M3GAN 2.0 ($10.2 million), none of which hit their break-even points in theaters.

Black Phone 2 exceeding the original movie’s debut, even by a small margin, is a good sign for the Blumhouse movie. The Black Phone was a smash success three years agogrossing $161.4 million against a reported budget of roughly $16 million and becoming the fourth highest-grossing horror movie of 2022 worldwide (behind Nope, M3GANand Smile).

If it continues on its current trajectory, Black Phone 2 (which features Ethan Hawke’s The Grabber haunting returning stars Mason Thames and Madeleine McGraw) could potentially gross more than $180 million worldwide by the end of its run.

While the movie was a riskier prospect, with its reported budget of $30 million nearly doubling the price tag of the original installment, Black Phone 2 could still earn back more than quintuple what it costpotentially cementing The Black Phone nor a major new franchise if another sequel is greenlit off the back of that total.

While Black Phone 2 is finding success so far, its fellow new release, Aziz Ansari’s Good FortuneI have not proven to be so lucky. Its projected 3-day domestic debut is only $6.2 million. The comedy also reportedly cost $30 millionalthough distributor Lionsgate acquired the title and is likely not on the hook for earning back that price tag.

The movie, which follows Keanu Reeves’ Gabriel switching the lives of a poor assistant (Ansari) and his rich boss (Seth Rogen), has performed well critically, earning a Certified Fresh Rotten Tomatoes score of 77%. It has also earned a CinemaScore of B+, which could be a good sign for its potential as a word-of-mouth success.

However, in the long run, it seems probable that Black Phone 2 will triumph over Good Fortune at the global box office, if these debut totals are any indication. Regardless, if the comedy doesn’t hit its break-even point in theaters, it could very well do so down the road on VOD and streaming if this early word-of-mouth eventually snowballs.

This Weekend’s Domestic Box Office Top 5

Because Good Fortune‘s debut was muted enough for it to slot in at No. 3, last weekend’s No. 1 title, the sci-fi sequel Throne: Ares was only pushed to No. 2 on the domestic chart. However, it was struck a harsh blow with a 66% week-on-week drop marking the worst sophomore slump of all three Throne movies.

See the full domestic Top 5 for the weekend below:

The previous weekend’s No. 2 and No. 3 titles, the Channing Tatum drama Roofman and the Leonardo DiCaprio action thriller One Battle After Anotherhave also made way for the new releases. The former dropped three places, hitting no. 5 with a 55% dropwhile the latter had a narrower decline, falling to No. 4 with a 53% drop.

Off the board completely are the previous weekend’s No. 4 and No. 5 titlesthe family movie Gabby’s Dollhouse and Angel Studios’ inspirational drama Soul on Fire.

They have fallen to No. 9 and No. 10 respectivelybeing pushed further downward by Angel Studios’ new World War II movie Truth & Treason (No. 6), the wide expansion of Luca Guadagnino’s awards play After the Hunt (No. 7), and the holdover horror hit The Conjuring: Last Rites (No. 8).

Ultimately, October may not yet have found its biggest wide release hit just yet. With Good Fortune floundering, that title could ultimately go to Black Phone 2but only time will tell. The two upcoming releases that have the biggest chance of unseating the horror movie are the Colleen Hoover romance Regretting you (which also stars Mason Thames) and the Bruce Springsteen biopic Deliver Me From Nowhere.

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Release Date

October 17, 2025

Runtime

114 Minutes

Director

Scott Derrickson

Writers

Scott Derrickson, Joe Hill, C. Robert Cargill

Producers

Jason Blum, C. Robert Cargill, Scott Derrickson