Expect a huge difference in the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy

The progress of artificial intelligence applications is only a few things, including speculation about the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy. I hardly know the answer to all the existing questions, but I think we should expect a great contrast in adjustment, and that in itself will change our world. To better look forward to what we can see, we need to distinguish between sectors that are relatively easy to cut off their livelihood and others who are not the same. For example, most companies that sell computer programming services usually do not have the sustainability of income or even customer base. The employees must achieve the expected results of them not to be replaced, they or their businesses themselves. This applies to most media companies. If you lose readers or clients, evaporate their income. According to the first amendment of the Constitution, it is also relatively free to enter this sector in the United States. There are a group of institutions that are vulnerable to losing its field slowly when it happens. For example, if a major government university is overlooked in the teaching of its students, the entry rates may fall, but it is likely to remain decades. And if a non -profit group does not achieve its goal, the donors may not know that they have failed for years, and the former donors can die after being admitted to their commandments. The intention is that a long time may pass before the financing sources dry. The foregoing leads me to put an expectation: companies and institutions in the most liquid and competitive sectors in the economy will experience serious pressure to use artificial intelligence. What those who do not work in such sectors will avoid it. The size of each category of it in the US economy is a matter of discussion, and this is naturally controlled by differences. But large parts of government, education, healthcare and the non -profit sector can slowly reduce their activities very slowly, or do not decrease at all, which is a large part of the US economy to delay the acceptance of artificial intelligence and the growth of the economy. As artificial intelligence progresses, the parts of the economy that are out quickly and free access will change rapidly. For example, large language models do a great deal of programming, although with human guidance. If the software consulting companies do not keep up with the speed of development, it will disappear within a year or two. The appearance of a revolutionary shift in the production of words and images is also a matter of time, while the design of graphics is a revolution, and many graphic designers joined it. But accounts are completely different with regard to a university professor with a permanent job that refuses to use artificial intelligence instruments in teaching, and his work will probably not be completed, and the full use of artificial intelligence in the classroom may force to wait until a full generation is retired. In contrast, students, who can do their studies or not, use artificial intelligence instruments with passion, sometimes for the purpose of cheating, but also learning. In general, individual adoption will overcome institutional acceptance in the academic environment. A large amount of government opportunities is also protected. If employees use artificial intelligence instruments, it may be as relieving workload. They can use artificial intelligence individually to facilitate the formulation of documents and emails, or to summarize the content they will have to read fully. The result is to increase the leisure time for workers, or the ability to perform more work in other areas. There is no similar pressure on the entire bureaucracy to reorganize its activities to revolve around artificial intelligence services because the continued presence of these institutions is somewhat guaranteed. In other words, there is no simple answer to how quickly the artificial intelligence of the total US economy changes. The parts of the economy that accept artificial intelligence will be able to reduce their costs quickly, and consequently it will become very cheap. Graphic design of high quality will become very cheap or maybe free. Harvard’s study fees may not be a budget and may rise. The impact of artificial intelligence will vary, sometimes significantly depending on the sector, and we will shock some prizes that will look separate from reality. The discussion is complicated by the use of artificial intelligence to increase economic growth will not always be easy. With the cost of sectors using artificial intelligence, it will become a smaller part of the gross domestic product. The remaining parts of the gross domestic product will be ‘reluctant in artificial intelligence’, making artificial intelligence to continue to increase GDP growth. Our lives are about to turn and upgrade, and we can be anxious due to basic changes in relative productivity and prices. Are we ready?