If oil is not received from Russia, then India will buy? India's oil crisis has increased to the US tariff and looking for new friend

India’s energy policy is once again caught up in the vintage of the world strategy. After the Ukraine War, India maintained the economic balance by buying cheap Russian oil, but now the US has attacked it directly. President Donald Trump’s decision to impose 25% tariff on Indian goods not only causes tension in business relations, but also starts a new chapter of ‘oil crisis’ for India. It is a turn where every strategic step can determine the direction of the economic storm. US President Donald Trump recently signed an order, whereby several products imported from India were imposed 25% additional tax. Reason? India buys oil from Russia. The biggest question before India is that, if not from Russia, where will the oil come from? US pressure at Russian discount India exported about $ 87 billion to the US in 2024, its largest export market. At the same time, India saved only $ 3.8 billion by buying cheap oil from Russia. Now that the United States says that buying crude oil from Russia is like giving air to war, diplomatic and economic pressure on India has increased. If India continues to buy oil from Russia, markets like America could affect its exports. If he makes a distance from Russia, a major source of cheap energy will be taken away. Who was India’s oil friend before Russia? Prior to the war, about 85% of the Oil Stock of India from the Middle East, especially Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were and the United Arab Emirates. At the time, the importance of Russia was only 2%. Iraq was the largest supplier of India. In FY 2022, India imported 56.5 million tonnes of crude oil from Iraq. At the same time, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were also strong suppliers. India also bought to 10% oil from the US in FY 2021. Why did India hold Russia’s hand after the war? After the Ukraine War, Russia introduced Western sanctions. Europe has distance from Russian oil and Russia has attracted new buyers. The price of Ural ruol was less than Brent Ru. It improved the refinement margin and India started selling petrol diesel to Europe and America. In FY 2025, India exported 64.7 million tonnes of petroleum products, but now the grudge of America has become a major crisis for India. 1. The Middle East countries Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are the old and reliable partners of India. In FY 2024, Iraq remained the top supplier in India with 49.9 million tonnes. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are close and logically beneficial. If India turns to these countries again, both supply and stability can be found, but prices will not be as cheap as Russia. 2. The United States is an American oil lighter and sweet, making Indian refineries of high quality fuel. India’s US oil imports increased by more than 50% in the first six months of 2025. Buying oil from America will help maintain political balance, but geographical distance can make it expensive. 3. Brazil, Canada, Guyana (America) India has booked 70 lakh -barrel oil from these countries by IOC for the delivery of September. These new sources will provide local diversity to India, but this can increase the cost of logistics and infrastructure. Will Russia end up completely? Probably not. Most Indian refineries still depend on non-Russian oil. And when crude oil is purchased, processed and exported from Russia, it is difficult to identify that it is rose. This makes it easier to avoid the limitations of the European Union. However, this is risky due to US pressure.