Cannes 2025 Winners are good for neon but what About the Oscars? – ryan

For many years not in the industry have LOOKED TO THE FALL TRIFECTA OF VENICE, TELLUDE AND TORONTO AS THE REAL START OF OSCAR SEASON, but recently, with two palm d’e or winners going on to also be best pictures, the “start” of the season has to be redefined. Be really Now Starts at Cannes.

For example, in 2024 the Cannes Film Festival Selection and Winners Scored Very Big at the Oscars, with Palme D’Or Winner Anora Becoming Only The Third Film to Also Win The Best Picture Academy Award (AFTER 1955’S Martyn and 2019’s Parasite). Emilia Perez, The substance and the Animation Feature Winner Flow ALSO SAW BIG SECCESS OUT OF CANNES AT THE OSCARS, WHERE THE FOLLOWING FIORDS SCORD AN OVERALL WHOPING 31 NOMINATIONS. In fact the track record has been prey good, swim at all a detriment for it early positioning, in the past seven as thierry frémaux pointed in the article on this subject that focused on neon head the track record with the cannes-oscars connection 2025 Disruptions Issue.

The Official Posters of the 2025 Cannes Film Festival

Les Films 13 – A Man and A Woman, Claude Lelouch (1966) / Graphic Design © Hartland Villa

Still, this year, at this early point, it is a harder call to make. Palme d’Or Winner It was just an ACCIDENTWhich is a surprisingly funny as well as devastating and human being the revenge of some former jailed Iranians against thormeneter, comes from Iranian director Jafar Panahi, WHO HIMSONED Twice in His Home Country. It is hard to imagine Iran will submit this negative look at their regime, but unlike last year’s oscar-nominated The Seed of the Sacred Fig From Iranian Director Mohammad Rasoulof, that film Got submitted by germany due to the director’s residence there. We will have to see where It was just an ACCIDENT Lands in-or out-of the international film oscar breed (another reasson why those arcane academy rules that of the force political considerations in letting the home Country choose one film shoulder vot be deep-sixxed).

Jury President Juliette Binoche and Cate Blanchett Present the Palme D’Or Onstage to Jafar Panahi at the Cannes Film Festival

Getty Images

Palme d’Or Whisperer Neon, Now With Six Wins in A Row, Also Handled Sacred Fig, and no double will plan an alternate strategy for the panahi just as they did with 2023’s palme d’Or winner Anatomy of a fallWhich Shockingly was Passed Over by France for Its Oscar Submission in favor of the Very French The Taste of Things, and instead launched an Aggresses Campaign in Every Other Category Landing Picture, Director, Actress, Editing and Screenplay Nominations, Winning in the Latter. The backscoys of Iranian Disisided Panahi and the Strength of His Palme D’Or as a Surprisisible and Entertaining, As Well As Important, Film Easily Lead to A Similar Campaign Outside of the International Film race.

Cannes Prize Winners 2025

Elle Fanning and Joachim Trier Attend the Closting Red Carpet at the 78th Annual Film Festival at Palais des Festival on May 24, 2025 in Cannes

Getty

Neon Only picked up It was just an ACCIDENT This Week During Cannes, nor They Also Did Brazil’s The Secret Agent Which Won Awards for Wagner Moura as Best Actor and Kleber thinksWhatA philo as best director. Add this to Grand Prize Winner (Second Place) Joaquim Trier’s Rapturously Received Sentimental Value and you have Tom Quinn’s Company With Some Distinct Oscar Pathways Out of Cannes, AS usual, As we can now confidently Say.

'The Secret Agent' Review Cannes

Wagner Moura in ‘The Secret Agent’

Cannes Film Festival

Sentimental Value Follow Trier’s The worst person in the world which won oscar nomination for international film and original Screenplay, Two Categories This Norwegian Film Will No Dobt Compete in at the Oscars, and you can probably add a few more Including Best Picture, Director and Acting for Renate Reisve and Stellan Skars Fanning so Marvelous in Support, at Least at This Very Early Point in the Oscar breed. As for the critically praised The Secret Agent, The Only Film to Win Multiple Prizes Saturday, its Star Best Actor Winner Moura, Who is Also Great Currently in Apple TV+’s The Dop Thief, Might Find HIS WAY INTO The Oscar Best Actor Depending on the Strength of a Neon Campaign.

Neon Also Just Picked Up The Terrific Oliver Laxe Film Sirât, Which Could Be Spain’s Entry and Also Has Has Other Including Actor Sergei Lopez in the Lead. It tied for the jury outlet with Germany’s Likely Oscar Entry Sound of Falling.

Elsewhere in cannes this year, i think that wee being snubbed by the jury, richard linklate’s delightful Nouvelle vagueAbout the French New Wave and the Making of Godard’s Breathless, COULD BE A Real Player at the Oscars, Somewhat Like 2011’s Charming The artist Which was a best Picture Oscar Winner, and Like Nouvelle vague Shot in Black and White.

'Nouvelle vague'

‘Nouvelle vague’

Goodfellas

The Actress Race Could Feature Cannes Out of Competition Film Vieée’s Jodie Foster, A Two-Time Oscar Winner and Academy Favorite Delinary A Terrific Performance All in Flawless French, and an All-Out Turn by Jennifer Lawrence in Die my love, the film though a longer shot as it may be difficult for voters to get through (mubi bought it and the same company steered demi moore’s awards-season Campaign for Substance AFTER LOING AT CANNES FOR Actress, SO Lawrence Will Get a Big Push No Matter). The 95-Yaar-Old June Squibb in Scarlett Johansson’s Directorial Debut Eleanor the Great COULD ALSO BECOME The Oldest-Go Best Actress Nominee for This Wonderful Film Which Premiered in UN CERTAIN REGARD. Booth Privee and Eleanor the Great Are From Sony Pictures Classics Setting Up A Strong Awards Season for Michael Barker and Tom Bernard’s Longstanding Operation. They Also Had Out of Competition in the Official Selection The Great Sylvain Chomet’s Animated Film on Marcel Pagnol, A MAGNIFICENT LIFE Which Could Contest in the Animated Feature breed. IT Heads Next to Annecy. You Can Forget the Actual Surprise Cannes Winner for Best Actress, Newcomer Nadia Melliti’s Glum AS A Young Girl Search for Her Identity in the Underwhelming Entry The Little Sister – Well, maybe at the cesars but certificate not at the Oscars.

Eleanor The Great Cannes Premiere

June Squibb in ‘Eleanor the Great’ Directed by Scarlett Johansson

Sony

The history of sound Starring Paul Mescal and Josh O’Connor was an enormously Moving gay love Story with great craftsmanship by Oliver Hermanus, and THOUGH it won no jury of think could register with academy voiters half a chance. Mubi has it domestically and universal/Focus internationally. It fes like a more old-style kind of filmmaking oscar voters use to cone. We will see if they Still will.

A24’s divisions Eddington, Set During the Covid Pandemic in a Small New Mexico Town, won no love from the jury and clearly Split Despite a great lead performance from joaquin phoenix as a sheriff who refuses to wear and sparks a maga-style backlash. It will be tough to see this gold aster film, one of great admired for just its braver in tachying on a political Cllimate Where this Kind of Ballsy ’70s Era-Type Filmmking, is Sadly Getting More Rare. It opens july 18 from a24, which tells with it is aware of the Challenges in this Highly Charged Trump Era Environment, SO Shall See How America Accepts.

Of Course there are Always Other Categories Where Some Cannes May Show Up Including Documentary Feature, Where I Think Orwell: 2+2 = 5 About How George Orwell’s eerie predits seem remarkably prescient. In Animation, Neon Also Was Active Picking Up The Natalie Port-Produced Arcowhich with its ethnicallyLike SCENARIO COULD IMPRESS ANIMATION Feature voters, nor could the animated Documentary from the great sylvain chomet (Oscar nominee for The Triplets of Belleville) On the Life and Work of Filmaker Marcel Pagnol, A MAGNIFICENT LIFEthat Also Might Figure in Animation for Sony Pictures Classics but is Also Eligible for Documentary Feature.

Oliver Laxe's Sirât was in Competition at the 2025 Cannes Film Festival

‘Sirât’

Match Factory

And you can always count on cannes to set the table for the international film races where Iran is unikly to submit the palme d’or winner, and where there are Questions whereer france submit the Very Not-French Linclater’s Richard Linclater’s Nouvelle vague. Still there is the aphoronone overpreied jury prize winner (in a tie) Sound of Falling, and in my opinion an edeter but less hypod out of the Competition Entry Amrum Scoring for Germany; Two Prosectors for Ukraine; The Brilliant Sirât (The Other Tie for Jury Prize) for Spain; Renoir for Japan; Eagles of the Republic for Egypt; Dossier 137 One of Many PosiBilities for France Including Out of Competition Title The Richest Woman in the World with Isabelle Hupppert; and The Sean Baker Co-Written and Produced Left Handed Girl for taiwan. That listing COULD POSIBLY INCLUDE TWO FIRST-Time Countries, with Nigeria’s First-Go Debut, The Terrific My Father’s Shadowand Iraq’s The President’s Cake.

I was an early suporter of the latter, which debuted Early in directors’ fortnight and now comes of Cannes not only only Audience People’s Choice but Also As Winner of the prestigious Camera d’H or Hadi for this enormously effecative film that as i pointed out in my revix shouldnt have been in the main compattition (HAD it been, Young Lead Actress Baneen Ahmad Nayef Wow Been a History-Making and Much More Deserving Best Actress). It is the real discovery of this year’s cannes film festival and some smart distributor Should Pick it up immediately. Neon, are you listening?

'The President's Cake' Review Cannes

‘The President’s Cake’

Cannes Film Festival

Of Note Belgium’s The Dardenne Brothers Continue to prove they would no workg in cannes, no matter who is on what Jury, taking Screenplay Honors tooday, for the Second Time, Adding to the Past Palmes D’H or, A Grand Prize, and Best Director. But have never been been nominated for an Oscar, and Likely Won’t Be (if they TRACK RECORD IS ANY INDICATION) FOR THEIR Latest Film, Young Mothers, Which Only Debut at Cannes at the Last Minute Yesterday.

The Festival Also Featured A Number of Higher-Profile Summer Movies Getting Their World Premieres Including of Course Mission: Impossible – The final reckoningThe “Last” in the Series of Eight Tom Cruise Missions WHICH HAVE ONLY LANDED ANY OSCAR NOMINATIONS FOR THE SEVARDTH ENTRY Dead Reckoning Part One For Visual Effects and Sound. This final probably is headed in the same crafts direction as well at the Oscars. Too Bad the Newly Announed Stunt Design Category doesn’t kick in another couple of years. This for sura would become the first Mission: Impossible Oscar Winner (!)

Tom Cruise and Others at the 'Mission Impossible - The Final Reckoning' in Cannes This Week

Tom Cruise and Others at the ‘Mission Impossible – The Final Reckoning’ in Cannes

Monica Schipper/Getty Images

Spike Lee’s Fifth Collaboration with Denzel Washington, The Remake of Kurosawa’s 1962 High and Low, Was Shown Out of Competition and Probably Will Have No Presence at the Oscars Although I WOULD SAY IT CONTAINS A LIVELY AND RICH REFORM FROM WASHINGTON, But not Enough Enough Another Best Actor Nomination for the Star. And then there is wes Anderson’s Latest Cannes Entry The Phoenician Scheme, In Competition But Ignored by the Jury, Which Like HIS LAST CANNES CONTENDER Asteroid City Will Likely Also Come Up Empty During Oscar Season.

Cannes has spoken. Let the Games Begin.