The Canadian is angry. Other tourists may be too.

(Bloomberg opinion) – Early in the first term of President Donald Trump, there was a lot of talk about whether his alien hatred and immigration restriction tourism would analyze to the US. In the end, they really didn’t. The number of international visitors to the US fell slightly in the first few months after Trump held office in January 2017, but reports of significant declines for the rest of the year were the product of a programming error at airport kiosks. After being resolved, the numbers showed that international arrivals rise modestly in 2017 after falling the previous year. By February 2020, just before the Covid-19 pandemic began to close everything in the US, the number of international visitors during the previous 12 months was 2.8 million, or 3.7%, of just before Trump became president. If we impede another that error – which seems unlikely, because, unlike in 2017, US Customs and Border Protection numbers show a similar decline to those of the US international trade administration that I use here in my cards – it seems to be a negative Trump effect this time. The number of international visitors to the US in January to July is 1.6 million, or 4%, from the same period in 2024, and the American Travel Association projects a drop of more than 6% for the full year. It should not be a big surprise, due to the ban on travel from 19 countries; The oppression of non -citizens who say that the Trump administration does not like; the sudden move (now blocked by the courts) to prevent international students from attending Harvard; the immigration attack on a battery plant in Georgia owned by South Korean car manufacturer Hyundai; And the deportation draft that continues to keep foreigners who are legally here. That said, the most important driver of the decline so far seems to be less than the movements as Trump’s tariff war with Canada and threats to make the country the 51st US state. The number of international visitors from countries other than Canada is actually this year, but the Canadians have canceled it and more. To be more precise, the number of visitors from overseas (ie everywhere except Canada and Mexico) is slightly lower after rising by 12% last year, and some key countries that many people usually send to the US – Germany, South Korea, France, India – send less. The Trump effect is therefore clear on more than just Canadian travel and is especially striking, as the dollar has fallen in value against most foreign exchange this year, a development that usually stimulates tourism. But the declines are not generally gone, with 12 of the 25 countries sent to the US most visitors in 2024, which has sent even more so far this year, and visited more than a million of Mexico. International visitors to the US are mostly tourists. Of overseas visitors in 2024, 84% were on tourist visas, 12% business visas and 4% student visas – although those here on tourist visas from Latin America and especially the Caribbean regularly visit family rather than see the attractions. Canadians generally do not need visas to enter the US, so there is no equivalent statistics for it. Mexicans do need visas, but the International Trade Administration only has a collapse for those who arrive with the air, 87% of whom were tourists in 2024, 12% on business and 1% students. Foreign students are of greater economic importance than their relatively small numbers, because they exist months or weeks or days and often pay a lot of education. What’s more, those who stay in the US after graduation sometimes make important scientific discoveries, manage great businesses or deliver differently in great ways. Early signs of the visitors data to sharp declines in foreign students in the new academic year. The number of arrivals on the student-visa fell 19% in August compared to August 2024 and is down 12% to date, with the countries of Asian countries driving most of the decline. The decline of foreign students can have major negative long-term effects if it persists, but spending by foreign visitors of all types amounts to just 0.71% of US gross domestic product in the second quarter, lower than 0.73% last year, so it is not a short-term economic issue for the US. However, the drop drop offers a tip of the liabilities that President Trump’s chaotic at under -management is taking place on the US economy. During his first term, Trump’s extinguisher eventually had little effect on travel to the US, because for most visitors it had no influence on the experience of coming here. For most, it’s still not, but there are enough disturbing stories that make the round to give travelers to the US break. This, and the Canadians are really crazy. More from Bloomberg opinion: This column reflects the author’s personal views and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial or Bloomberg MP and his owners. Justin Fox is a columnist for Bloomberg that covers business, economy and other topics that include maps. He is a former editorial director of the Harvard Business Review and is author of “The Myth of the Rational Market.” More stories like these are available on Bloomberg.com/opinion © 2025 Bloomberg LP