Historically, September is a critical period that can have pressure on long -term ties. Over the past decade, state ties around the world have entered into the midst of the merits of more than ten years, a loss of about 2% in September, according to data collected by “Bloomberg”, making it the worst months of the year. This pattern will be a concern for investors, as the longest effects are already left behind their shortest counterparts this year amid the fear that governments are strengthening the borrowing rates to finance expenses. The scene increases the complexity of continuing inflation in Japan, and political unrest in France, as well as speculation that US President Donald Trump could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, raising inflationary pressure in the United States. “The market situation is currently looking very worrying,” said Hid this Fivestar asset management in Tokyo. He added that “September is often a sharp shift in monetary policy”, as investors usually recover their position during this month pending any upcoming decisions. Also read: Difficulty in Asia markets and the high returns of US bonds. US work data to be released on Friday pose a threat to the market, while traders are waiting or their bets will emphasize the interest rates of the Federal Reserve this month. The inflation data in the euro area also remains under the supervision of any possible surprises, while policymakers are likely to prove interest rates next week. Political crises affect the tires at the same time. France goes through a suffocating political crisis that has risen the yields of its ties, with Prime Minister Francois Bayro to mobilize support before a confident mood is scheduled for September 8. Analysts, including Chris Weston, head of the research department at Peppersone Group, believe that the seasonal decline in the performance of long -term context is related to the usual increase in versions during September. It is agreed with Mohit Kumar, the European main strategy at “Jefferies International”. Kumar said that the mobilization was “mostly linked to issues in September, as the publications were absent during July and August, and we do not see many of them to mid -November.” In Japan, investors are close to the mortgage auction for ten years scheduled Tuesday, followed by selling bonds for 30 years later in the week. Investors pay particular attention to measuring demand for the country’s debt amid questions about the leadership of Prime Minister Shikiro Ishiba, and the expectation that the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates. Bloomberg’s overall strategy, “Bloomberg”, said that “Japanese government bond traders today will focus on the amount of offering to cover the Bond auction for ten years, where any level below 3.0 is considered weakness.” He continued: “The last time these indicators recorded a disappointing level was in May, which coincides with the launch of a wide buying wave by the Japanese curve. The repetition of this scenario will be negatively reflected on the ties of the ten group, with the return of the global tendencies to the decline in the return.” Also read: The increase in the yield of Japan’s effects to the highest level since 1999 due to financial problems at the world level, long -term yields have dropped by 2.6% since June 30, and the first quarterly decrease in 2025 has dropped. The profits have fallen by 7.9% since the beginning of the year. Evelyn Gomez-Leshti, a multiple asset strategy for Mizuho International in London, believes that the strongest US data is expected, as well as the possibility that the Bank or Japan is tightening the monetary policy, among the factors that can make this month more difficult for bonds. “There are a lot of risks to be handled,” she said.
The worst historical .. September scares for long -term effects -investors
